Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 106.302417 117.944883 129.952319 143.234361 157.487353 172.296192 188.818516
2024-10-20 84.562147 101.276776 119.452442 140.567518 164.303046 190.043049 219.947597
2024-10-27 68.734890 88.653648 111.430749 139.108321 171.529753 208.009620 251.853325
2024-11-03 59.489711 82.134595 109.229629 143.471804 185.009129 233.191178 292.706217
2024-11-10 51.500605 75.935128 106.455312 146.445606 196.501177 256.137354 331.557571
2024-11-17 45.350303 71.151533 104.690904 150.096634 208.527160 279.771982 371.700627
2024-11-24 40.638733 67.596506 103.957775 154.657706 221.519710 304.703142 413.899522
2024-12-01 33.428709 59.582776 96.407183 149.498546 221.445184 312.943282 435.300392
2024-12-08 28.318315 53.918058 91.441731 147.218792 224.667084 325.084853 461.546871
2024-12-15 24.977249 50.499721 89.280146 148.483258 232.422111 343.048253 495.415997
2024-12-22 22.352581 47.867024 87.970917 150.718581 241.383024 362.634735 531.638759
2024-12-29 20.860956 46.929460 89.093431 156.422903 255.224423 388.931121 577.083567
2025-01-05 18.908592 45.008546 88.609193 159.824411 266.111858 411.804084 618.937162
2025-01-12 16.278085 41.483901 85.237445 158.606400 270.252609 425.528003 648.844387
2025-01-19 14.092353 38.465254 82.404522 157.978279 275.117376 440.267192 680.345169
2025-01-26 13.118526 37.727706 83.366997 163.340866 288.965330 467.818130 729.808863
2025-02-02 11.980407 36.469940 83.286036 166.948430 300.206280 491.852143 774.791617
2025-02-09 11.045967 35.504000 83.614035 171.165888 312.404707 517.399443 822.195420
2025-02-16 10.314032 34.883345 84.502392 176.304592 326.104835 545.312933 873.296184
2025-02-23 8.429972 31.176554 79.243930 170.688418 322.775270 548.355037 889.363804
2025-03-02 7.131948 28.634613 75.958056 168.213094 324.191857 558.227083 915.116943
2025-03-09 6.352393 27.298462 74.938713 169.629609 331.803476 577.323552 954.256610
2025-03-16 5.744104 26.314686 74.543580 172.107038 341.146431 599.113027 997.527388